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Grassroots Movement Blog

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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Political Campaigns, Voter and Consumer Research

    An Eight Point Democratic Lead Does Not Mean Voters Have Stopped Voting With Their Wallets

    New national polling shows Democrats with an 8% congressional advantage, but the economy and cost of living remain at...
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    Data, Strategy, Political Campaigns, Legislation

    What Unusual Primaries Reveal Before the General Election

    Unusual ballots, narrow margins and incumbent defeats reveal party pressures that may persist long after primary season...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns

    Michigan’s Open Senate Seat Tests a New Rust Belt Coalition

    Primary victory gave Democrats a nominee, but Michigan’s fractured coalition will decide whether he can hold the seat.
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    Data, Digital, Political Campaigns, Messaging, Policy

    How AI Automation Is Professionalizing Down-Ballot Races

    High-end voter modeling and micro-targeting are no longer exclusive to multi-million-dollar statewide campaigns -...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Political Campaigns, Voter and Consumer Research

    The 2026 Battlefield Is Taking Shape, but the Map Is Still Moving

    The newest ratings give Republicans the shorter House route, but volatile primaries, uneven fundraising and expanding...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Political Campaigns, Voter and Consumer Research

    Summer Senate Polls Are Signals, Not Forecasts

    Summer Senate polls show meaningful Democratic strength, but recent midterms suggest those advantages may narrow...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Political Campaigns, Maps

    Small State Volatility and Ticket Splitting: How the 2026 Senate Map Is Being Redrawn

    Small state ticket splitting and localized campaign dynamics are challenging national assumptions while shaping the...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Political Campaigns, Technology

    Why Republican Campaigns Should Walk Away from Synthetic Polls

    AI-generated respondents may look convincing, but they do not provide new evidence about what voters actually think.
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    Data, Media, Strategy, Advocacy

    America’s Retreat Is Rewriting the Rules of Global Democracy

    As Washington leaves institutions it shaped, autocratic coalitions move to define the rules replacing it.
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    Data, Media, Strategy, Advocacy

    Why Millions in Political Ads Are Flop-Era Material

    Record spending cannot rescue campaigns when repetitive ads exhaust voters, waste impressions and replace locally...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns

    Democrats Hold a Six-Point Lead in the 2026 RealClearPolitics Generic Ballot Average

    A broad Democratic advantage has narrowed, but still pressures a fragile Republican House majority.
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Political Campaigns, Technology

    How AI Caught a Border Security Surge Before Traditional Polling

    Georgia’s October shift showed how quickly a live voter signal can outrun a conventional survey.
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