Grassroots Movement Blog

    Hobbs Leads Arizona Governor Polls, but the Margins Tell Different Stories

    Katie Hobbs leads Andy Biggs in separate Arizona surveys, but divergent estimates leave the Republican challenger’s...

    Pennsylvania Polls Put Two Republican House Seats Under Pressure

    Democratic leads against Ryan Mackenzie and Rob Bresnahan put Pennsylvania’s recent Republican House gains back under...

    Models and Markets Favor Democrats but Disagree on Senate Risk

    Wedgewood’s fabrication admission exposes how demand for reassuring election numbers can reward appearances before...

    Wedgewood’s Fake Polls Expose the Cost of Political Confirmation Bias

    Wedgewood’s fabrication admission exposes how demand for reassuring election numbers can reward appearances before...

    Trump’s Negative Referendum: Opposition Outpaces Support in the 2026 Midterms

    Trump now motivates far more voters in opposition than support, intensifying Republican exposure across competitive...

    Mike Lawler’s Crossover Coalition Faces a New Test in New York’s 17th

    As Democratic crossover support for Mike Lawler slips, Cait Conley is testing whether his Hudson Valley coalition can...

    One Economy, Two Campaigns: How Immigration and Healthcare Split the Midterm Electorate

    The economy unites voters, but Republican immigration priorities and Democratic healthcare concerns create competing...

    Meta’s 2026 Political Ad Restriction Makes Delivery the Real Deadline

    Meta’s final-week advertising restriction makes verified delivery the decisive test for campaigns seeking uninterrupted...

    Texas Senate Deadlock: Fort Bend Reveals Talarico’s Suburban Path

    Talarico’s Fort Bend advantage expands his suburban path, while Paxton’s older and rural coalition keeps Texas...

    Texas Hispanic Voters Put the Senate Race in Play

    Talarico’s Hispanic advantage gives Democrats an opening, but affordability, immigration and turnout will determine...

    AOC’s 2028 Opening Is Real, but Far From Settled

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s opening is real, but calendar rules, coalition breadth and credibility will determine...