Grassroots Movement Blog

    Locked In: How a Handful of Persuadable Voters Control Congress

    Voters may be furious with Washington, but with most of the electorate politically locked in, control of Congress is...

    The 40% Barrier: Inside the Most Stable Unpopular Presidency in Modern Politics

    Trump’s approval rating is virtually unchanged by tariffs, economic volatility, or scandals, showing a presidency...

    Trump Hits His Lowest Approval of This Cycle as Republicans Fight to Hold Congress

    National dissatisfaction and falling executive approval are creating severe headwinds that could offset structural...

    Roy Cooper Opens a Surprising Double-Digit Lead in a Key Senate Battleground

    North Carolina's open Senate seat is shaping up as one of the most consequential races of 2026, and Republicans are...

    Cost of Living Pressure Is Reshaping the Midterm Map

    Affordability is becoming the underlying force driving voter sentiment, cutting across partisan lines and complicating...

    Democrats' ActBlue Dependency Faces Its Biggest Stress Test Yet

    House Republicans are demanding records from five ActBlue board members by June 16, and Democratic campaigns are...

    Shifting Midterm Winds Spark Fresh Democratic House Optimism

    With 11 Republican-held seats now rated Toss-up and presidential approval below 40%, Democrats are entering the fall...

    Suburban Voters Are Moving Back to Republicans in the Most Important Battlegrounds

    New polling shows a quiet but significant suburban shift toward Republicans, and Democrats are focused everywhere...

    Georgia GOP Runoff Heats Up as Democrats Show a United Front

    Georgia Republicans are still choosing their nominees while Democrats are already running a coordinated statewide...

    Winning the Tech Turf War: Mapping the Voter Tribes Deciding the Future of Digital Infrastructure

    Public opinion on artificial intelligence and data centers is becoming a political battlefield, forcing tech companies...

    State Legislative Special Elections as Midterm Indicators

    Democratic overperformance in early state legislative special elections provides a key indicator for the 2026 midterms.

    Divergent Majorities: The Senate Exposure Model vs. Swing-State Reality.

    The 2026 map reveals a political reality that generic ballot numbers alone cannot explain.