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Grassroots Movement Blog

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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns

    Cooper’s North Carolina Senate Lead Persists Across October Polls

    Roy Cooper’s repeated polling advantages put Michael Whatley under pressure without establishing an agreed margin or...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns

    Benson Leads Michigan Governor Polls, but the Margin Depends on the Survey

    Jocelyn Benson leads John James across distinct Michigan surveys, but turnout assumptions complicate assessments of her...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns

    Hobbs Leads Arizona Governor Polls, but the Margins Tell Different Stories

    Katie Hobbs leads Andy Biggs in separate Arizona surveys, but divergent estimates leave the Republican challenger’s...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns

    Maine polling shows a close Senate race and a clearer lead for Hannah Pingree for governor, revealing different statewide voter coalitions.

    Susan Collins’s competitive Senate position contrasts with Hannah Pingree’s gubernatorial advantage, exposing different...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns

    Ayotte Leads as New Hampshire Democrats Hold Federal Advantages

    Kelly Ayotte’s gubernatorial lead contrasts with Democratic federal advantages, showing why New Hampshire’s races...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns

    Pennsylvania Polls Put Two Republican House Seats Under Pressure

    Democratic leads against Ryan Mackenzie and Rob Bresnahan put Pennsylvania’s recent Republican House gains back under...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns

    Models and Markets Favor Democrats but Disagree on Senate Risk

    Wedgewood’s fabrication admission exposes how demand for reassuring election numbers can reward appearances before...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns

    Wedgewood’s Fake Polls Expose the Cost of Political Confirmation Bias

    Wedgewood’s fabrication admission exposes how demand for reassuring election numbers can reward appearances before...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns

    Nebraska’s Senate Race Tests Dan Osborn’s Independent Appeal

    Independent Dan Osborn is running nearly even with Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts, forcing both campaigns to fight over...
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    Data, Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns

    Senate and Governor Races Are Diverging in Michigan and Texas

    Michigan and Texas show how voters can distinguish candidates for Senate and governor even as statewide voting grows...
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    Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns, Voter and Consumer Research

    Stelson and Perry Rematch Puts Pennsylvania’s 10th District in Play

    Janelle Stelson’s challenge to Scott Perry has grown more competitive, making their Harrisburg-area rematch...
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    Public and Voter Opinion Polling, Strategy, Political Campaigns, Voter and Consumer Research

    Kansas Senate Race Tightens as Independents Give Adam Hamilton an Opening

    Adam Hamilton’s strength with Kansas independents has narrowed Roger Marshall’s advantage, making a long Republican...
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